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Module 2 - Cost Management

Day 7: Cost Control & Earned Value

9% of the exam - about 2.5 hours - 14 practice questions

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Once construction starts, cost management becomes cost control: knowing where you are against plan, and being honest about where you will end up.

The three numbers earned value rests on

Earned value measurement is tested on the CCM exam, and the questions are usually straightforward if you know the three inputs cold.

Planned Value (PV) is the budgeted cost of the work you scheduled to have completed by this date. It is what the plan said you would have earned by now.

Earned Value (EV) is the budgeted cost of the work you actually completed. It is physical progress priced at budget rates, not at what it cost you.

Actual Cost (AC) is what you actually spent to complete that work.

The single most common error is treating EV as money spent. It is not. EV is progress, valued at the budget. AC is money spent. Keeping those separate is most of the battle.

Variances and indices

Cost Variance is EV minus AC. Positive means you earned more value than you spent, so you are under budget. Schedule Variance is EV minus PV. Positive means you have earned more value than planned, so you are ahead of schedule.

Note what Schedule Variance is really measuring. It is expressed in dollars, not days, and it is a proxy. A project can show a positive Schedule Variance while the critical path slips, because the dollars earned early may be off the critical path entirely. The exam rewards knowing this limitation.

Cost Performance Index is EV divided by AC. Schedule Performance Index is EV divided by PV. For both, greater than 1.0 is favorable, and exactly 1.0 is on plan. Indices are more useful than variances for comparing across projects of different sizes, because they are ratios rather than absolute dollars.

Forecasting the final cost

Estimate at Completion, in its simplest and most-tested form, is Budget at Completion divided by CPI. The logic is that whatever efficiency you have demonstrated so far is the efficiency you will likely continue to demonstrate. Estimate to Complete is EAC minus AC, the money still required. Variance at Completion is BAC minus EAC, the projected overrun or underrun at the end.

A worked example. A project has a Budget at Completion of $10,000,000. At the reporting date, Planned Value is $4,000,000, Earned Value is $3,600,000, and Actual Cost is $4,200,000.

Cost Variance is 3,600,000 minus 4,200,000, which is negative $600,000. Over budget. Schedule Variance is 3,600,000 minus 4,000,000, which is negative $400,000. Behind plan. CPI is 3,600,000 divided by 4,200,000, which is 0.857. Unfavorable. SPI is 3,600,000 divided by 4,000,000, which is 0.90. Unfavorable. EAC is 10,000,000 divided by 0.857, which is roughly $11,670,000. VAC is 10,000,000 minus 11,670,000, which is roughly negative $1,670,000 projected overrun.

S-curve chart showing planned value, earned value and actual cost at a data date At the data date, planned value is 4 million dollars, earned value is 3.6 million and actual cost is 4.2 million. Earned value below planned value is a negative schedule variance of 400 thousand. Earned value below actual cost is a negative cost variance of 600 thousand. The forecast at completion rises above the 10 million budget. start planned finish $10M $0 data date SV = EV − PV = −$400K CV = EV − AC = −$600K PV / BAC $10M EAC ≈ $11.7M PV: budgeted cost of work scheduled EV: budgeted cost of work performed AC: actual cost of work performed
EV sits below PV, so the project is behind plan. EV sits below AC, so it is over budget. CPI of 0.857 projects an EAC near 11.7 million against a 10 million budget, which is the number the owner needs long before it becomes certain.
Earned Value: the S-Curve at the Data Date

The exam will hand you three of these numbers and ask for a fourth, or hand you a CPI and ask what it means. Practice until the formulas are automatic, because under time pressure you do not want to be deriving them.

To-Complete Performance Index: what efficiency is still required

Where CPI describes efficiency so far, the To-Complete Performance Index (TCPI) describes the efficiency still needed on the remaining work to hit a cost target. Measured against the original budget, TCPI equals the work remaining (BAC minus EV) divided by the funds remaining (BAC minus AC). Using the worked example above: BAC minus EV is 10,000,000 minus 3,600,000, or 6,400,000; BAC minus AC is 10,000,000 minus 4,200,000, or 5,800,000; so TCPI is 6,400,000 divided by 5,800,000, or roughly 1.10. That means the remaining work must be performed about 10 percent more efficiently than plan just to finish on the original budget, a bar the project has not yet been clearing. A TCPI meaningfully above 1.0 combined with a CPI already below 1.0 is a strong signal that the original budget is no longer realistically achievable, which is exactly the kind of paired-metric scenario the exam likes to test.

Cash flow versus cost

Cost is incurred when work is performed. Cash flows when payment is made. The gap between the two is real and is tested. A project can be on budget and still create a cash crisis for the owner if the draw schedule is front-loaded or if retainage is released in a lump at the end. The CM builds a cash flow projection, typically an S-curve, so the owner can arrange funding to match the actual draw pattern.

Retainage is a percentage withheld from each progress payment, commonly 5 or 10 percent, released at substantial completion or later. It exists to give the owner leverage to secure completion and punch list work. Many public jurisdictions cap retainage by statute or require reduction at 50 percent completion, and the exam may test that a CM should know the governing requirement rather than apply a habit.

The CM's reporting duty

The exam's ethical spine on cost is this: the CM reports the forecast honestly and early. A CM who sees a trend toward overrun and waits for certainty before telling the owner has failed, because the owner's options narrow with every week of delay. When a question offers "continue monitoring and report next month" against "notify the owner now with the trend and the range," the second is nearly always correct.

Why this matters for the exam

Almost every EVM question is a plug-and-solve once you have PV, EV, and AC straight in your head, but the harder questions test the limitation behind the number: SV is a dollar proxy, not a day count; a CPI trend implies a TCPI requirement; and every trend, once it is clear, belongs in the owner's hands immediately, not at the next scheduled report.

Practice Questions

1. Earned Value represents:

  1. The amount spent to date
  2. The forecast final cost
  3. The budgeted cost of the work scheduled to be completed by the data date
  4. The budgeted cost of the work actually completed

2. CPI of 0.92 indicates:

  1. The project is under budget
  2. The project is ahead of schedule, since the index compares progress to the plan
  3. The project is over budget, earning 92 cents of value per dollar spent
  4. Nothing without knowing SPI

3. PV is $2,000,000, EV is $1,800,000, AC is $1,700,000. Cost Variance is:

  1. Positive $100,000
  2. Negative $300,000
  3. Positive $200,000
  4. Negative $200,000

4. Using the same figures, Schedule Variance is:

  1. Zero
  2. Negative $200,000
  3. Positive $100,000
  4. Negative $100,000

5. BAC is $8,000,000 and CPI is 0.80. The simple EAC is:

  1. $6,400,000
  2. Cannot be determined
  3. $10,000,000
  4. $8,000,000

6. A project shows a favorable Schedule Variance while the critical path is slipping. This is possible because:

  1. SV is always wrong
  2. The CPM schedule must be in error, because earned value always tracks the critical path exactly
  3. It is not possible
  4. SV is measured in dollars and may reflect progress on non-critical work

7. Retainage primarily serves to:

  1. Cover escalation
  2. Increase contractor profit
  3. Fund change orders and unforeseen conditions that arise during construction
  4. Give the owner leverage to secure completion and punch list work

8. A CM identifies a clear trend toward a 6 percent overrun but lacks final confirmation. The CM should:

  1. Report the trend and a projected range to the owner now
  2. Draw contingency quietly to stay within budget and report only once the overrun is confirmed
  3. Ask the contractor to absorb it
  4. Wait until the overrun is certain before reporting

9. Cost is incurred when work is performed, but cash flows when payment is made. The CM addresses this gap by:

  1. Producing a cash flow projection so the owner can arrange funding for the draws
  2. Requiring lump sum payment at completion so that no financing is needed during construction
  3. Ignoring it, since the budget is what matters
  4. Increasing retainage

10. TCPI, measured against the original budget, is calculated as:

  1. EV divided by AC
  2. (BAC − EV) divided by (BAC − AC)
  3. BAC divided by CPI, which forecasts the final cost rather than the efficiency still required
  4. EV divided by PV

11. A project's CPI is 0.85 and its TCPI is 1.15. The most reasonable read is:

  1. This combination indicates the project is ahead of schedule
  2. The project is comfortably on track to finish on the original budget
  3. The remaining work must run meaningfully more efficiently than the project has managed so far, which is an unlikely turnaround
  4. TCPI and CPI cannot both exist on the same project

12. Estimate to Complete (ETC) is best defined as:

  1. EV divided by AC
  2. The original budget at completion
  3. BAC minus EAC
  4. EAC minus AC, the funds still required to finish

13. A public project's retainage is challenged because it exceeds the statutory cap for that jurisdiction. This is best handled by:

  1. Applying the governing statutory requirement rather than the CM's usual habit
  2. Increasing retainage further to compensate
  3. Releasing all retainage immediately regardless of completion status
  4. Ignoring the statute since the contract governs

14. Why are CPI and SPI generally more useful than CV and SV when comparing performance across projects of different sizes?

  1. They are not more useful; dollar variances are always preferred
  2. They are ratios, so they compare efficiency independent of the project's absolute dollar scale
  3. They eliminate the need to track AC at all
  4. They are only valid on projects over $10 million

Micro-Assignment

Using the budget you built on Day 6, assume you are 40 percent through the schedule. Invent a PV, EV, and AC consistent with a project running modestly over budget and slightly behind schedule. Calculate CV, SV, CPI, SPI, EAC, VAC, and TCPI. Then write three sentences you would actually say to the owner in a monthly report, stating the trend, the projected final cost range, and the one decision you need from them.

Glossary

Planned Value (PV)
Budgeted cost of work scheduled by the reporting date.
Earned Value (EV)
Budgeted cost of work actually completed.
Actual Cost (AC)
Money actually spent for the work completed.
CPI
EV divided by AC. Above 1.0 is favorable.
SPI
EV divided by PV. Above 1.0 is favorable.
EAC
Forecast final cost; simple form is BAC divided by CPI.
TCPI
To-Complete Performance Index; the efficiency required on remaining work to meet a cost target, (BAC minus EV) divided by (BAC minus AC).
Retainage
Percentage withheld from progress payments to secure completion.
S-Curve
Cumulative cost or progress plotted over time, characteristically slow-fast-slow.

Progress

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